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Discrete Event Simulation Modelling for Public Health Policy-Makers

  • 1.  Discrete Event Simulation Modelling for Public Health Policy-Makers

    Posted 06-04-2021 01:08:00 AM
    Back in April 2020, Rick Watson and Blake Ives discussed 'Exploring our assumptions with a simple systems dynamics model'.

    I've been pursuing a different path, different in several ways.

    My focus is on assistance to public health policy-makers.  They've been under the pump.  Their efforts have been filtered by politicians to varying degrees in different countries.  Some have managed to deliver pretty well in very challenging circumstances;  but many other countries have fared very badly.  Is the IS discipline out there, actively supporting policy-makers;  or are we hiding away in our burrows / contemplating our navels?

    Another difference is that I've used discrete event simulation modelling.

    And the third is that I've been less concerned with the mainstream approach of using a model for quantitive experimentation using a mix of empirical and synthetic data. I've been more interested in using the modelling process to enable policy-makers to share their perspectives and their insights with their team-members, and to generate new insights, e.g. into what missing data would be the most valuable to have.

    The first output is a paper for delivery at the Bled eConference shortly.  A Chapter and a journal article are in review.

    Thoughts are very welcome, on- or off-list.  Thanks!  ...  Roger

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    Roger Clarke
    Xamax Consultancy / ANU / UNSW
    roger.clarke@xamax.com.au
    http://rogerclarke.com
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